Nigeria’s crude oil sales increased by 46.41 per cent to push Nigeria’s total export to N26.79tn in 2022.
This is coming as total trade rose by 31.79 per cent from N39.75tn in 2021 to N52.39tn in 2022. In 2022, crude oil sales totalled N21.09tn, a 46.41 per cent increase from N14.41tn in 2021. In 2022, crude oil accounted for 78.74 per cent of total export.
Data from the National Bureau of Statistics said total exports for 2022 rose by 41.72 per cent from N18.91tn in 2021 to N26.79tn as of 2022. Imports rose by 22.77 per cent from N20.84tn in 2021 to N25.59tn in 2022.
In 2022, Nigeria spent N2.63tn importing food and live animal; N10.12tn importing petroleum and other mineral fuel; N1.93tn on manufactured goods; and N5.93tn on machinery and transport equipment.
Reacting on the growth of foreign trade, the NBS said, “In the fourth quarter of 2022, Nigeria’s total trade stood at N11.72tn of which total exports stood at N6.36tn and total imports amounted to N5.36tn.
“On an annual basis, total trade was N52.39tn, total imports amounted to N25.59tn, and total exports were recorded at N26.79tn.”
Explaining the breakdown for Q4, 2022, the national statistics body stated, “The top five export destinations in the fourth quarter of 2022 were Spain, Netherlands, India, France, and Indonesia accounting for 9.70 per cent, 9.03 per cent, 7.71 per cent, 7.70 per cent and 7.44 per cent respectively of total exports.
“Altogether, exports to the top five countries amounted to 41.59 per cent of the total value of exports.”
It added, “In terms of Imports, in the fourth quarter of 2022, China, Belgium, India, The Netherlands, and the United States of America were the top five countries of origin of imports to Nigeria.
“The values of imports from the top five countries amounted to N2.99tn representing a share of 55.82 per cent of the total value of imports. The commodities with the largest values of imported products were ‘Motor Spirit Ordinary’ (N1.56tn), ‘Gas Oil’ (N220.47bn), and ‘Durum Wheat (Not in seeds)’ (N187.96bn)”
Despite witnessing a boost in crude oil sales, the World Bank had stated that Nigeria did not benefit from oil price boom because of fuel subsidies and reduce oil production.
According to the global bank, the average price of crude oil increased by over 150 per cent from 2020 to 2022, but Nigeria’s macroeconomic performance weakened over this time, with its fiscal space shrinking. It stated that in 2022, the government fiscal deficit was estimated to have increased to 5.7 percent of GDP from 5.4 percent in 2020 before the boom.
The Washington-based bank said that high production costs, theft and insecurity, joint-venture cash-call arrears, and inadequate investment have caused Nigeria’s crude oil output to fall consistently below its Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries quota since June 2020.
Commenting on fuel subsidy, the bank explained, “Second, the ballooning cost of the petrol subsidy: The continuation of the petrol subsidy (deducted directly from oil revenues) implies forgone fiscal revenues of 2.5–2.7 per cent of GDP in 2022.
“This, combined with the protracted decline in oil production, has resulted in the lowest levels of net oil revenues (in percent of GDP) being transferred to the government in over a decade.”
In its recent article IV report on Nigeria, the International Monetary Fund stated, “Higher oil prices are yet to deliver tangible benefits amid contraction of oil production and costly fuel subsidies.”
According to the IMF, Nigeria has missed its opportunity to benefit from higher global oil prices. From January to July 2022, Nigeria’s oil production slumped by 28 million barrels threatening the Federal Government’s N9.37tn oil and gas revenue target for 2022.
From January and April, the government projected that it would earn N3.12tn, but only generated only N1.23tn in the period.
A former President, Association of National Accountants of Nigeria, Dr Sam Nzekwe, had stated that the continued reduction in oil production and the country’s inability to meet its revenue target might lead to bankruptcy.
He said, “The massive oil theft in the Niger Delta, which is on an industrial scale, has continued to stop Nigeria from meeting its OPEC production quota. The impact of this is very clear. The finance minister told you that the government was finding it difficult to meet its obligations because of a lack of funds.”